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Predictor of Elections Says Trump Has a 91% Chance of Winning 2020
The predictor’s election model has a record of correctly predicting election outcomes
We all have mixed feelings about our commander in chief. Some of us Openly admit they would instead vote for a bag of human feces than Trump, others, I’m sure, have already lovingly tattooed trumps face on their chest.
I’m somewhere in the middle, I respect some of the things he’s done, yet, recognize him as a person is a piss poor representation of The United States.
Opinions aside, what happens when we look at the models of Scientific, and political geniuses who have yet to be wrong about their election predictions?
Helmut Norpoth’s Primary Model
Stony Brook University professor Helmut Norpoth’s Primary Model shows President Trump has a 91% chance of winning against Joe Biden on November 3rd.
Norpoth’s model bases it’s conclusions on popularity, not the actual poll stats. According to Biden’s first two failed primary races, Trump is leading tremendously.
When used for previous elections, Norpoth’s model predicted 25 of the 27 elections.
